Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.156003 0.189170 0.224984 0.266236 0.312151 0.361415 0.417992
2025-03-09 0.109676 0.153096 0.204014 0.266903 0.341301 0.425404 0.526570
2025-03-16 0.073943 0.120445 0.179880 0.258391 0.356513 0.472487 0.617336
2025-03-23 0.056472 0.106222 0.174849 0.270659 0.395618 0.548274 0.744132
2025-03-30 0.039804 0.088560 0.161740 0.269905 0.416999 0.602378 0.846139
2025-04-06 0.028135 0.074931 0.151424 0.270713 0.439113 0.657121 0.949771
2025-04-13 0.020748 0.066096 0.146381 0.277603 0.468743 0.721649 1.066763
2025-04-20 0.015589 0.059577 0.143631 0.286934 0.501405 0.790453 1.190282
2025-04-27 0.011456 0.053474 0.140322 0.294572 0.531360 0.855908 1.310375
2025-05-04 0.007476 0.045496 0.132006 0.293046 0.547302 0.902204 1.405703
2025-05-11 0.005144 0.040582 0.128447 0.298578 0.573362 0.962496 1.520209
2025-05-18 0.003033 0.034364 0.120861 0.296253 0.586927 1.005216 1.611443
2025-05-25 0.001216 0.026194 0.107103 0.281845 0.581383 1.021352 1.668011
2025-06-01 0.000598 0.022847 0.103688 0.285727 0.604545 1.078840 1.781975
2025-06-08 0.000151 0.018053 0.095066 0.278657 0.609403 1.109595 1.859290
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.017212 0.097148 0.292647 0.649204 1.192240 2.009942
2025-06-22 0.000004 0.014406 0.092504 0.292498 0.665195 1.239762 2.111861
2025-06-29 NaN 0.012163 0.088778 0.293727 0.683300 1.290532 2.218814
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010927 0.088067 0.301217 0.712230 1.357936 2.350036
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010087 0.088524 0.311191 0.745610 1.432434 2.492005
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009137 0.088205 0.319323 0.775870 1.502520 2.628305
2025-07-27 NaN 0.007427 0.083853 0.317760 0.788710 1.545915 2.726566
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006537 0.082755 0.323619 0.814900 1.610181 2.855495